Central region is likely to be affected by a storm that formed in the East Sea on September 20, after storm No. 5.
This afternoon, September 13, former Deputy Head of Forecasting Department at Southern Hydro-meteorological Station said that, according to the 10-day forecast model of the US, on September 20, a low pressure area is considered likely to become strong. A tropical depression or storm formation will pass over the central Philippines to enter the South China Sea.
According to initial forecasts, the storm may pass through the Paracel Islands on September 21-22 and head towards the mainland of central provinces. According to experts, based on the direction of the storm’s movement, it is likely that the provinces from Quang Tri to Quang Ngai in our country will be directly affected.
“The central region has just received a flood of rain caused by storm No. 5, so if it continues to be affected by the upcoming storm, the area may experience a dangerous flood on a large scale,” Lan said.
In addition, Ms. Lan said that the South would be affected indirectly even if the storm was still at sea, caused by the activity of tropical cyclones that trigger the intensity of the southwest wind. Therefore, at the beginning of next week in Ho Chi Minh City and southern provinces, heavy rain is likely to increase.
“It is still quite early to accurately forecast the upcoming storm. The scenarios may have to be continuously adjusted, but early warning is needed for people to be proactive in responding,” the expert shared.
The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting predicts that in September, there is a possibility of 2-3 tropical cyclones appearing in the East Sea, of which 1-2 storms directly affect the provinces of the North and Central Vietnam. ta.
Thus, in addition to the recent storm No. 5, in the second half of September, the East Sea is likely to have 1-2 more tropical cyclones.
Talking about storm No. 5/Conson, Ms. Lan said that this pattern is very unusual. Accordingly, after weakening into a tropical depression right over the waters of Quang Tri – Quang Ngai provinces, the storm did not go inland but stayed at sea for more than 1 day, then gradually dissipated. The reason the storm did not make landfall was because there was no conduction current to bring the tropical depression in.
In addition, the tropical depression was affected by cold air as soon as it entered the waters of the central central provinces, due to the change in direction measurement, lowering the translation axis to the south. Therefore, the storm did not go in the direction originally forecast.
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